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Tour de France preview, part 1: Who to support?

The 2010 edition of the Tour de France starts in Rotterdam on Saturday and concludes 22 days later, as is now traditional, on the Champs-Élysées in Paris.

In the same way the World Cup is the only major football event some fans follow, for many followers of cycling the Tour de France is the sole focus of their interest in the sport. If you’re one such person – or if you’re a more serious fan and just want a laugh – the flow chart below (which I found reblogged by several people on Tumblr) may help you decide who to follow in terms of the general classification which determines the overall race winner, signified by the famous maillot jaune (yellow jersey).

Who to support in the Tour de France

Watch out for more previews, including my view on this year’s key stages and a more serious look at the leading contenders for the yellow, green (sprinters’) and polka dot (climbers’) jerseys over the next three days, and keep reading here for regular race analysis as the Tour progresses during the next three-plus weeks.

For full coverage of the Tour de France, visit either the official website or alternatively steephill.tv as your one-stop shop for race reports, photos and videos.

Most importantly of all, enjoy the racing. There are few spectacles in sport as wonderful as watching the peloton flying through the French countryside on a sunny July afternoon!

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World Cup second round: in numbers

Uruguay v South Korea

5South Korea are yet to beat a South American side at the World Cup in five attempts.

4Uruguay have had less than 45% of ball possession in all four of their games so far in this World Cup, but have nonetheless won three and drawn the other.

22Luis Suarez has been on the winning side in the last 22 games for club and country in which he has scored.

390 – Total minutes Uruguay had gone without conceding a World Cup goal until Lee Chung-Yong scored in Port Elizabeth. Before that, the last goal they had conceded was scored by Senegal‘s Papa Bouba Diop in 2002.

USA v Ghana

0 – Neither the USA nor Ghana had ever played extra time in a World Cup game before this match.

433Kevin Prince Boateng‘s fifth-minute goal brought to an end Ghana’s run of 433 minutes without a goal from open play at the World Cup. Their previous four goals in four games before that had come via the penalty spot.

3 – Ghana became only the third African side ever to reach the quarter-finals after Cameroon (1990) and Senegal (2002).

4Asamoah Gyan is only the second African player to score four goals at the World Cup after Cameroon’s Roger Milla (five).

206 – Despite winning Group C, the USA only led in games for a total of 206 seconds at this World Cup.

5Landon Donovan is now the all-time leading goalscorer for the USA at the World Cup, with five.

3 – Donovan had three shots on target at this World Cup – and scored from all three.

England v Germany

12Miroslav Klose scored his 12th World Cup goal, equalling Pelé.

3Germany ensured that David James‘s streak of never having kept three consecutive clean sheets for England continued.

2Matthew Upson’s two England goals have both come against Germany.

9Wayne Rooney has now failed to score in any of his last nine England games.

3 – England scored just three goals in South Africa, their lowest-scoring World Cup since 1950 (two).

43 – Yet again, on his 43rd cap, Jermain Defoe maintained the unenviable record of never having completed a full 90 minutes for England.

1966 – The last World Cup in which Germany failed to progress further in the competition than England.

1966 – The last time England won a game in which their opponent scored first was the 1966 World Cup final – against West Germany.

1990 – England have not come from behind to win a World Cup game since the 1990 quarter-final against Cameroon.

Argentina v Mexico

1Carlos Tevez scored Argentina‘s first goal from outside the box at the World Cup since Maxi Rodriguez‘s strike in 2006. That goal also came against Mexico.

24 – Mexico have lost a total of 24 World Cup games, more than any other country.

0 – Argentina have yet to draw a game under Diego Maradona.

8 – This game broke a run of eight World Cup knockout games in which Argentina had not won in the regulation 90 minutes (previously round-of-16 against Brazil, 1990).

10 – Argentina are currently on a run of 10 World Cup games without defeat, excluding penalty shootouts (seven wins, three draws).

Holland v Slovakia

4Holland have won four games in a row at the World Cup, equalling their best ever streak (in 1974).

23 – Holland are now unbeaten in 23 games, the longest run in their history.

4 – With four goals, Slovakia‘s Robert Vittek is tied for the lead in the Golden Boot competition.

Brazil v Chile

4.00 – Brazil’s 3-0 win means they have scored 28 goals in their last seven games against Chile in all competitions, an average of exactly four per game.

8Robinho has scored eight goals in six games against Chile.

Paraguay v Japan

0 – Before this game, neither Paraguay nor Japan had ever reached the quarter-finals.

0 – No Asian team has ever beaten a South American team at the World Cup.

750Roque Santa Cruz has now gone 750 minutes without scoring at the World Cup. His last goal was against South Africa in 2002.

7 – Paraguay are now unbeaten in their last seven World Cup games against non-European sides.

4 – Paraguay have failed to score on all four occasions they have reached the second round of the World Cup.

6 – Paraguay are the sixth successive team who have taken the first penalty in a World Cup shootout and gone on to win.

1 – This was the first time a World Cup game going to penalties had not involved at least one European team.

Spain v Portugal

51 – Tonight was Iker Casillas‘ 51st game as captain of his country, a Spanish record.

80% – Prior to tonight’s game, Portugal had kept 20 clean sheets in 25 games since the return of coach Carlos Queiroz.

8Xavi created eight goalscoring chances for Spain,  the joint-highest single game total in the tournament.

16 – It took 16 shots on target before Eduardo was finally beaten to concede Portugal’s first goal of the competition.

General statistics

7 – Seven of the eight group winners have qualified for the quarter-finals. The USA were the only ones to miss out.

3 – There are only three European teams in the last eight, the fewest ever.

2 – Number of teams who have won all four games so far during this tournament (Argentina, Holland).

2 – Number of knockout games (out of eight played so far) which have gone to extra time.

10 – Argentina are currently the top goalscorers in the competition, with 10 goals in four games.

75 – Argentina have recorded the most shots on target (75), one more than Brazil.

31 – Shots on target by England, more than any team other than Argentina (36).

67 – Of the eight quarter-finalists, Ghana have committed the most fouls, with 67.

113 – Total goals in the 48 matches comprising the group phase (an average of 2.35 per game). The tournament has picked up pace distinctly since the cagey opening round of games: a meagre 25 goals were scored in the first round, 42 in the second, and 46 in the final round.

13 – Lionel Messi has had 13 shots on target, more than any other player.

(Some stats courtesy of FIFA statisticsCastrol Live Tracker@optajoe@optajean,@StatManJohn and @castrolfootball.)

My ten-week, ten-point plan for avoiding Euro 2012 disaster

As I write this today (June 29th), it is still less than 48 hours since England were knocked out of the World Cup, with Fabio Capello and the FA saying yesterday that no decision would be made on his future as manager for two weeks. While I applaud the deliberate decision not to make any knee-jerk reactions, it is important to maintain a sense of urgency with England’s Euro 2012 qualifying campaign kicking off against Bulgaria at Wembley in just 66 days’ time – less than ten weeks. (Full fixture list here.)

Having previously touched on the problems with the national side (here and here), it is clear there are serious issues - both long and short-term – to resolve if England are to throw off the shackles and become genuine world-beaters.

With the above points in mind, here are ten things I think need to happen over the next ten weeks to ensure our qualification from an apparently straightforward group – where have I heard that before? – does not get off to a bad start.

1. Capello or not Capello?

The cynic in me fears the FA’s two-week hiatus before announcing Capello’s future is merely a smokescreen to negotiate the terms of his ‘mutually agreed’ departure. If that is the case, the FA need to start sounding out potential successors now. By all accounts, it may already be too late to stop Liverpool snapping up Roy Hodgson. And while he would no doubt answer the call, I am extremely dubious about Harry Redknapp‘s credentials. Alleged financial mis-dealings aside, one of Harry’s greatest assets is his ability to wheel and deal in the transfer market, a skill which is clearly not applicable to international management (unless he can persuade Lionel Messi to adopt British citizenship, that is).

In an ideal world, my preference would be to retain Capello and his backroom staff to maintain continuity. While doubts remain over his World Cup performance, he has already proven he can steer a successful qualifying campaign. And the most critical thing now is to ensure that campaign gets off to a good start.

2. Pick a formation

Capello resisted making changes to his tried and trusted 4-4-2 during the World Cup, despite player and media concerns. I don’t really mind what formation we play – my preference would be the 4-3-3/4-5-1 hybrid now employed by Arsenal and many other teams – as long as a clear decision is made quickly, because (a) this should influence the make-up of the squad and (b) we know that English players aren’t always the most fluid when it comes to switching between formations.

3. Pick the best squad, not the best players

Gabriel Agbonlahor (Aston Villa)

This stems from the previous point. Pick a squad which is tailored to suit the system. In my preferred 4-3-3, this would mean Wayne Rooney up front with Gabriel Agbonlahor or Darren Bent as his understudy, with a combination of Theo Walcott, Aaron Lennon, Ashley Young, Joe Cole and Adam Johnson as the wide men. That means no place for Emile Heskey or Peter Crouch, and possibly even Jermain Defoe.

It also means being clear about whether the manager is going to stick with experience – and remember, England had the oldest squad at the World Cup – or accelerate the introduction of youth. Nowhere is that more obvious than in the central defensive positions, where Rio Ferdinand and Ledley King are treatment room regulars, and the limitations of John Terry, Matthew Upson and Jamie Carragher were brutally exposed in South Africa. It is important not to shift the balance from experience to youth too far – Arsenal are a prime example of what happens when you strip a team of its experienced leaders too quickly – but it is clear that the Dad’s Army which man our defences cannot be relied upon to carry us through the next two years. It is vital England start to blood the likes of Michael Dawson, Gary Cahill, Phil Jagielka and even a rehabilitated Micah Richards, because they will be needed sooner rather than later.

4. De-selection policy

More than half England’s 23-man World Cup squad will be the wrong side of 30 by the time Euro 2012 comes around, And while it is easy to spot the obvious candidates for international retirement – Heskey, Carragher and Upson for starters – the manager must decide what he is going to do with some of his key senior players. In defence, Ferdinand will be 33, Terry and Ashley Cole 31; in midfield Frank Lampard nearly 33, Steven Gerrard 32 and Gareth Barry 31. No doubt some of these will still be involved in two years’ time, but who gets phased out and when will be a critical set of decisions for the next year or so. This is why we pay someone so much to get decisions like this right.

Me? As part of my new 4-3-3/4-5-1, I would consider demoting Lampard to become Gerrard’s backup at the head of a midfield three, with two holding/general midfielders behind. This could include Barry, but consideration should also be given to playing Michael Carrick, James Milner and perhaps someone like Tom Huddlestone here, with Milner a candidate to step forward into the Gerrard role when required. Again, this is a vital conundrum for the manager to resolve – England’s balance in midfield was horrible at the World Cup, notwithstanding Barry’s hasty return from injury.

5. Pick a goalkeeper now

Joe Hart (Manchester City)

This is an easy one for me: tell Joe Hart the gloves are his, and do it now so he can demand first-team football either at Man City (in Shay Given‘s injury-induced absence) or elsewhere. Retain David James as a backup, with the carrot of bringing him on board as part of the coaching team; James is certainly intelligent and ambitious enough to bring something to this role. And jettison Robert Green; not because of his howler against the USA, but because he commits this kind of grievous error often enough for him to be a liability.

6. Drop one of the ‘Untouchables’

Steve McClaren did it with David Beckham for all the wrong reasons, but he did it with all the right intentions – to put a clear stamp on his squadand start to change the culture. There is no shortage of candidates here: the mutinous John Terry; Frank Lampard, who has not reproduced his Chelsea performances for England for at least a year now; even Wayne Rooney, whose form and fitness at the World Cup were desperately short of what we know he can produce. I would give serious thought to dropping Lampard immediately to move either Gerrard or Milner back into the middle, and possibly sit Terry down for our second qualifier in Switzerland, where we are unlikely to come under severe pressure from this most defensive-minded of opponents.

7. Focus on youth

Jack Wilshere (Arsenal)

I will nail my colours to the mast here and say that something drastic needs to be done to reduce the average age of both the starting XI and the wider squad. Germany in particular exposed us as being one-paced and pedestrian, and it is an issue that will only get worse with an ageing squad. I’ve talked about several of the defensive and midfield possibilities already, but the Arsenal fan in me says how about a fit-again Kieran Gibbs as Ashley Cole’s backup, or Jack Wilshere being a regular in the under-21s and being invited to train with the senior squad? Jack Rodwell, Danny Welbeck, Nathan Delfouneso – I could go on and on. I’m not saying we need to make wholesale changes immediately, but we need to start planning to give youth a chance, even if only so we can decide who has a chance to make it and who doesn’t.

8. Release the shackles

This stems from a combination of fear of failure, complacency and a generally cautious mindset. It starts with the manager, who must encourage his players to be less pedestrian and more adventurous in attack, without fear of consequences. For that reason, despite his defensive deficiencies, I would keep Glen Johnson in the side because he is one of the few England players willing to gallop forward in support of attacks.

And, through coaching, it extends to the players, who must start to work better as a unit, rather than knocking aimless balls into the channels for Heskey or Rooney to chase. Albeit with non-English players alongside them, they can do it for their clubs. They need to do it for England too.

9. Launch a media charm offensive

Already the press vultures have been circling around Capello, questioning his salary, team selections and formations, and generally setting him up to be a scapegoat. Regardless of whether the Italian continues or not, something needs to be done to seize back the news agenda, quell the dissenting voices and remind them that, like it or not, there is one England manager, not 50 million.

10. Just win, baby

Ten weeks today, we will have played our opening two qualifying matches (Bulgaria at home, Switzerland away). Without Dimitar Berbatov, now retired from international football, the Bulgaria game is less tricky than it might have been, but it will be tough to break down the Swiss defence. Gain six points – or, at the very least, four – and all the ills of this summer will be quickly forgotten.

For what it’s worth, this would be my line-up (fitness permitting) for the game against Bulgaria on September 3rd, an XI which I would see evolving further as the campaign goes on:

Hart

G Johnson – Ferdinand – Terry – A Cole

Barry

Milner – Gerrard

Lennon – Rooney – A Young

Subs: James, Dawson, Warnock, Lampard, J Cole, A Johnson, Agbonlahor

In the 23: Robinson, King, Huddlestone, Defoe, Walcott

Let me know what you think. Am I heading in the right direction, or barking up the wrong tree?

For a considered analysis of what needs to be done longer-term to take England forward, please take the time to read Steve’s thoughts here – thoroughly recommended.

Something is rotten in the state of England

Image courtesy of ifranz

England expects.

The only problem with that is the England football team so rarely delivers to anywhere the expectations of the nation. And yesterday’s lame exit from the 2010 World Cup is hardly an isolated example of under-performance at major tournaments. It’s time we faced up to facts: we’re a good team, but we’re not that good.

The morning after the afternoon before

I’ve calmed down somewhat since I posted my initial thoughts on England’s 4-1 defeat to Germany yesterday. Although, to be honest, I wasn’t so much angry as resigned. In spite of the controversy over assistant referee Mauricio Espinosa‘s failure to realise Frank Lampard‘s shot had crossed the goalline, it was all too apparent that Germany had been superior in every department. It’s hard to stay mad for long in those circumstances.

What the linesman saw?

Rather than dwell on what might have been, the question now facing England, the FA and coach Fabio Capello is simply: where do we go from here?

As a blogger, I currently feel a strange kinship with the England team. Like England, over the past couple of weeks my work-rate and output have been high, but I can’t seem to locate that sweet spot in my writing which effortlessly leads to high-quality results. The harder I try, the more elusive that form becomes. I know I should be doing better, and don’t understand why I’m not.

That’s where the comparison ends, though. I don’t claim to be a world-class writer, and I don’t receive a penny for doing so. But I’m not fundamentally dissatisfied with that, whereas it is clear to an objective eye that, to paraphrase Hamlet, something is rotten in the state of the England national team.

It is not my intention here to hold some kind of inquest, post-mortem or even witch-hunt. I will leave that to those involved with the England set-up and those ‘experts’ in the media who are well practised in knowing a bandwagon when they see one.

I prefer to deal in facts rather than poorly-informed opinion, so let’s start with some simple ones.

England went to South Africa with the oldest squad in the tournament, so they were not lacking experience. It is also the most highly-paid squad at the World Cup, with all 23 players drawn from the self-proclaimed best league in the world, and led by the most highly-paid national coach.

The squad was not quite at full strength, but it was not far off. Team captain and best defender, Rio Ferdinand, withdrew injured just before the tournament. And the experience of David Beckham and Michael Owen was also unavailable, but neither were guaranteed selections and both would have been fringe contributors at best. But Germany are without the injured Michael Ballack; Ghana without Michael Essien, one of the finest all-round midfielders on the planet – and both these nations are in the quarter-finals, having played good football in doing so.

History demonstrates England are serial under-achievers

Looking back to previous tournaments, it is clear that England have a long-established history of fading away rapidly once the knockout stages commence. Here is how we have done in the last ten major tournaments since the heady days of the 1990 World Cup:

  • Euro 2008 – Did not qualify.
  • World Cup 2006 – Beat Ecuador in round-of-16, lost to Portugal on penalties in quarter-final.
  • Euro 2004 – Lost to Portugal on penalties in quarter-final.
  • World Cup 2002 – Beat Denmark in round-of-16, lost to ten-man Brazil in quarter-final.
  • Euro 2000 – Knocked out in group phase.
  • World Cup 1998 – Lost to Argentina on penalties in round-of-16.
  • Euro 1996 (host) – Beat Spain on penalties in quarter-final, lost to Germany on penalties in semi-final.
  • World Cup 1994 – Did not qualify.
  • Euro 1992 – Knocked out in group phase.

England's last semi-final, on home soil in 1996

All that adds up to England having reached the knockout stages in just six of the last ten major tournaments. And when we have made it that far, we have won just three of nine matches – only two inside 90 minutes – with the other being a penalty shootout at Wembley after a dire 0-0 draw against what was then a decidedly mediocre Spain side.

I’ll say that again: ten tournaments, three wins in knockout games, and just the one semi-final, which came with the benefit of home advantage.

And before we go all dewy-eyed, Gazza-style, about 1990, here are the basic facts of England’s tournament that year:

  • Group phase: Drew with Republic of Ireland 1-1, drew with Holland 0-0, beat Egypt 1-0.
  • Round-of-16: Beat Belgium 1-0 after extra time, with David Platt‘s 119th minute goal avoiding a penalty shootout at the death.
  • Quarter-final: Beat Cameroon 3-2 after extra time, with Gary Lineker scoring an 83rd-minute penalty to force the extra period, and then adding a second penalty in the 105th minute.
  • Semi-final: Lost to Germany on penalties (1-1 after extra time). Gazza’s tears, plus Stuart Pearce and Chris Waddle‘s missed spot kicks in the shootout.

Were England really that good at Italia 90?

The group phase performance in 1990 exactly mirrors England’s results in South Africa, after which they were unable to beat two middling opponents in the regulation 90 minutes, before going out against the first truly good side they faced. To be fair, England could so easily have won that 1990 semi-final, but I think my point remains valid: England generally lose knockout games against good opponents.

It was never realistic to expect England to win this World Cup. Indeed, a FIFA ranking of eight would suggest that we should have been quarter-finalists, at best. And England’s fate was effectively sealed by failure to win their group, pitching them into the same quarter of the draw as Germany and Argentina, who will now face off for a place in the semi-finals.

Now what?

So now it is back to the drawing board for England and the FA, and the beginning of the end for the so-called ‘Golden Generation’, many of whom will have to face departure from international football within the next year or two. England started this World Cup with the oldest team at the tournament, with an average age of over 28. By the time the Euro 2012 tournament kicks off, Emile Heskey and Jamie Carragher will be 34; Matthew Upson will be 33 and Frank Lampard just 12 days shy of that particular milestone; Steven Gerrard will be 32; Ashley Cole, John Terry, Peter Crouch, Gareth Barry and the ever-injured Ledley King will all be 31; even relative youngsters Joe Cole, Shaun Wright-Phillips and Michael Carrick will be the wrong side of 30. Some of the aforementioned will no doubt feature alongside the likes of Wayne Rooney, Aaron Lennon and James Milner in Poland and the Ukraine – assuming, of course, that England get there – but many will expect to be phased out, or at least marginalised, over the course of a qualifying campaign which begins in just ten weeks’ time.

Will Fabio Capello tell the FA what to do with their job? (image courtesy of Dekuwa)

And, of course, there is the small question of who will lead them there. In successive World Cups, England’s players have failed to gel under both the relaxed Sven-Göran Eriksson/Steve McClaren regime and the more disciplinarian Capello. There appears to be something cancerous in the culture and mindset of this set of players which needs to be excised.

It goes beyond a lack of ability and confidence, or even the coach’s shortcomings, and it is not something that will be easy to fix until the composition of the squad changes significantly. The first step in that process is for the players to recognise that they must shoulder some of the blame for a dire set of performances at this World Cup, rather than point the finger at everyone else, as many are sure to do.

Without suggesting that baby needs to be thrown out without bath-water, there is clearly more work to be done than simply shrugging the shoulders and sticking a plaster over a gaping wound. Will the 64-year old Capello have either the inclination or the patience for what could be a lengthy rebuilding job?

Capello has already said he will discuss his future with FA chairman Dave Richards on his return to London. If the Italian walks away from England – my money says that he may well do – the FA will have a difficult decision to make. Do they go for another big name foreign coach, or make an appointment closer to home? If the latter, the name of Roy Hodgson – a manager who can boast two spells at Inter Milan and stints as the national coach of three different countries (Switzerland, Finland, UAE) on his CV – must surely be high on the shortlist.

But for now it is time for the Three Lions – or should that be Three Pussycats? – to lick their wounds and retreat home with a sorry tail between their legs. It is difficult to predict how everyone will respond to this latest setback, but the most pressing challenge now is how to re-energise and potentially start repopulating the squad before the grind of tournament qualifying is upon us again in early September. It is time to look to the future, but without sweeping the lessons of this rotten campaign under the carpet.

England players must shoulder blame as Germany tame Three Lions

Let the blame game begin. England crashed out of the World Cup in the round-of-16 this afternoon, courtesy of a humiliating 4-1 defeat to Germany. The fact they had the tailor-made excuse of a ghost ‘goal’ which, indisputably, should have been awarded should not detract from the fact that, yet again, they have delivered much less as a team than the sum of their individual parts would suggest.

Since Wednesday’s narrow win over Slovenia, optimism had been gradually building among England fans, to the point where British bookies had them as marginal favourites at kick-off. But the big question was: what type of performance would we get from England, and what kind of game would this be as a result? The ecstasy of the 1966 World Cup final or the 2001 5-1 World Cup qualifying win in Munich? Or would it be more like the agony of the 1990 World Cup and Euro 96 semi-finals, in both of which England perished in penalty shootouts under the steel-capped boot of German efficiency?

Within 32 minutes, we had our answer. Goals from Germany’s Polish-born strike partnership of Miroslav Klose and Lukas Podolski exposed England’s palpable lack of organisation at the back. On the first goal they were undone by a basic long ball over the middle, with both John Terry and Matthew Upson positionally at fault as Klose finished smartly. BBC pundit Alan Hansen noted:

You will never, ever see two centre-halves in a worse position than when Germany scored their first goal, I promise you.

For the second, with both central defenders and the midfield duo of Gareth Barry and Frank Lampard conspicuous by their absence, Thomas Müller sent a neat ball through to Podolski, cutting in from the left, who smashed it through David James‘s legs.

With England in complete disarray, that looked like it. To their credit, through sheer force of will they surged back into it in the final ten minutes of the half. First Upson nodded in a corner and then, less than a minute later, came the game’s most controversial moment.

Never let it be said the sporting gods lack a sense of irony. 44 years ago, a World Cup final between England and the then West Germany turned on the determination of a Russian linesman that a Geoff Hurst shot had crossed the German goalline, a decision which has been debated endlessly ever since. Here, a Uruguayan linesman decided that Frank Lampard’s raking shot had not crossed the German goalline after bouncing down off the crossbar, despite TV replays showing the ball had done so by about half a metre.

There was simply no doubt, even at full speed. It made a mockery of FIFA’s decision in March to slam the door on video technology as an aid to game officials. The assistant referee was only human, but it was a whopper of an error, and one which could have been easily rectified.

England had been denied the completion of a remarkable turnaround, from 0-2 to 2-2 in the space of a minute, but as the players trooped off at halftime with a sense of righteous indignation, there had been no disguising the fact that they had been comprehensively outplayed by a superior German side for most of the half. Nonetheless, they came out for the second half with a renewed sense of purpose, and when Lampard hit the bar with a free kick from 30 yards on 52 minutes, they may even have felt that perhaps this would be their day after all. England started to pour forward increasingly in numbers, leaving themselves open to the counter-attack as they desperately sought the equaliser. Pressure was applied on the German back four, but without ever really creating clear chances.

Something had to give, and in the space of three minutes at the three-quarter point of the game, Germany quickly and ruthlessly applied a one-two punch to break English hearts. Gareth Barry first lost possession on the edge of the German box, then his lack of pace was ruthlessly exposed when Mesut Özil easily beat him one-on-one to a ball on the touchline. Both passages of play ended up with Müller applying a killer touch.

At 4-1, it was game over. English heads dropped; Germany relented to avoid piling on further embarrassment. The final whistle was a blessed relief to the thousands of England fans in Bloemfontein’s Free State stadium and to the millions watching at home.

England had been outclassed in every department, and the contrast was stark. Klose and Podolski took their goals ruthlessly, while Rooney bustled in vain and Defoe was reduced to the role of hapless spectator. In midfield, Özil and Bastian Schweinsteiger orchestrated affairs with pace, energy and flashes of genuine creativity, making England’s midfield look  stiff and pedestrian. And Germany’s back four were troubled only rarely, whereas England’s was unlocked by a long ball straight out of the Hackney Marshes playbook.

It was that which was most depressing of all. Like France, England looked like a collection of individuals rather than anything vaguely approaching a cohesive team. Their brand of football – predictable, guileless and constrained by fear – is one which will not be missed when compared to the vibrant movement and creative spark of the likes of Argentina, Spain and Chile. When the chips were down, England’s threat was totally blunted. They were reduced to set-pieces and Steven Gerrard shooting speculatively and pointlessly on sight because of a lack of viable alternatives.

Much will be made of the goal that never was, but it should not disguise England’s many failings. To his credit, England captain Gerrard did recognise this, saying:

We can’t use the [Lampard] goal as an excuse. To say that one moment changed the game would be a lie. They were the better team.

Ultimately, England are out of the World Cup not because of one bad showing today, but because of a series of sub-standard performances which rendered them unable to win a straightforward group.

For once, extremely hot weather cannot be blamed for England’s apparent lethargy throughout the tournament, but you can be sure that altitude, the much-criticised Jabulani ball and, of course, head coach Fabio Capello‘s methods and tactics will all come under scrutiny in the coming days – not to mention the eyesight of the Uruguayan linesman.

The revisionists will now quickly start rewriting history, reflecting on the relative weakness of a qualifying group which exaggerated England’s successes. They will say that Capello’s strict discipline and rigid tactics – once seen as a sign of a decisive coach who knows his own mind – will be portrayed as stubborn, inflexible and divisive. Every fringe squad selection (or non-selection) will be dissected, ignoring the simple fact that it was largely England’s starting XI who failed to deliver, not their backups.

Yes, Capello has made mistakes. He has made decisions – the selection of Robert Green as his starting goalkeeper, for one – which he would love to take back. But hindsight is a wonderful thing that makes geniuses of us all. To blame Capello for not being the God-like figure many were so quick to portray him as this time last year is to miss the point entirely.

Whatever happens, the media will be least scathing of the players. Sure, there will be some mild criticism speaking of under-performance. And there will unquestionably be a few sage voices of wisdom who will not be afraid to aim a few well-directed sniper shots at particular individuals. But the old boys’ club of journalists seeking to stay on the good side who provide them with the life-blood of soundbites week in, week out during the Premier League season will most likely hold firm.

Already this evening I can see the initial seeds of this campaign being sown. Pundits wonder aloud how this group of players – the so-called ‘Golden Generation’ – who are so exceptional for their clubs can be so mediocre in an England shirt. The insinuation will be that it is somehow the fault of a succession of head coaches to get the most out of these players, an unspoken criticism which will, of course, be reinforced by the players themselves. But the fact is that, since the 1998 World Cup, England have never exceeded expectations, frequently under-performed against them, and rarely played good football in doing so. This despite being led by such highly respected names as Capello and Sven-Göran Eriksson, not to mention the much-derided Kevin Keegan and Steve McClaren, who subsequently took FC Twente to the Dutch title – the equivalent of winning the Premier League with, say, Aston Villa or Everton. Surely not every coach can have got it so catastrophically wrong? One coach, sure. Two, maybe. But four?

Now I’m not saying the players are solely to blame. Of course, it’s more complicated than that, just as it is ludicrous to blame Capello alone. But neither are they blameless. And maybe it is a reluctance to take responsibility for their own shortcomings which has led the England team to where they are today, namely boarding a flight home.

At least one player was saying the right things this evening. Joe Cole, largely unused in South Africa, said:

There are a lot of issues. It is not for me to talk to [the media] about it, but we need to just step up. We will go away and start again, but we have to address the problems that are there. We just weren’t good enough, but we have to look at ourselves as a group. We haven’t been good enough since the start of the friendlies, so it is back to the drawing board. Why is this? I don’t know. F***ing hell, if I knew, I’d put it right. We wanted to do well, but sometimes we just weren’t good enough, plain and simple. Fabio Capello is a great manager and we have great players, but there are issues we need to address.

It’s a start that many others would do well to follow. If England are to learn their lessons and move forward, our self-important, self-aggrandizing players need to take a long, hard look in the mirror for a reason other than to admire their reflections, and accept the possibility that maybe they’re not quite as good as they think they are.

I’m not holding my breath that it will happen, though. I reckon there’s about as much chance of it happening as there is of me looking out of the window and seeing airborne bacon.

England player ratings (out of 10):

James 6

Johnson 4, Terry 4, Upson 4, A Cole 6

Milner 5, Lampard 6, Barry 5, Gerrard 5

Rooney 5, Defoe 4

Subs: J Cole 5, Heskey 5, Wright-Phillips

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